http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748703447004575449813071709510.html?mod=WSJ_hp_mostpop_emailed
The above link will take you to an opinion piece by Arnold Schwarzenegger in the WSJ; in this illuminating piece, the governor outlines the horrible state of California finances...especially when it comes to state sponsored pensions. Unfortunately, this same scenario is playing out in municipal and state governments across the land.
It is quite clear that local and state governments are running Ponzi schemes when it comes to their pensions. It is simply a mathematical improbability that they will be able to pay off these pensions which were obviously irresponsibly promised. What to do?
Hagel, the philosopher, famously stated that the argument that most often wins out in the end is the argument with the fewest internal contradictions. The corollary of this is that the facets of any argument must be consistent.
Let us turn to how the government is handling the most famous of Ponzi schemes--the Madoff affair. In that scheme, Bernie Madoff reported consistent 18% returns to his clients year after year--whether the economy was growing or receding. People should have known that it was a scam. The Justice Department, using that logic is going back a number of years and repossessing the assets of those who cashed in their chips before Madoff was finally exposed. Most will get to keep their initial investment but must return their fraudulent 18% returns so that those who did not get out in time will get at least a part of their investment back. This is called a claw back; it is based on a sense of fairness; the out-in-time investors should not profit from a fraudulent scheme while others lose everything; perhaps the investors should have known that these types of returns were other worldly. This process is ongoing at the present.
The existing California pension plan is a Ponzi scheme (as probably are NY's, NJ's, Illinois' and several others). The number of public employees retiring in their 50's with 6 figure pensions (and health care) for life is staggering. Many got a quick raise just before retirement to bolster their loot. You can bet that there are politics involved as well. No matter....the uncontroverted facts are that the pension system is unsustainable; it is underfunded; it lies on its reporting by quoting totally unrealistic investment return projections; and it is probably corrupt.
I see parallels with the Bernie Madoff case. Where is the government claw back? Are they looking at those last minute raises? Are they looking at those ridiculously high pensions? Are they looking at those unrealistic investment return projections?
Are they looking at the true state of underfunding?
This appears to be a case of do as I say not do as I do. A large chunk of the 800 billion dollar stimulus package went to prop up local and state governments. The money that was supposed to go to shovel-ready infrastructure projects has ended up kicking the pension-bomb can down the street. No wonder, the stimulus package delivered so little bang for the buck.
To recover its credibility, the government must act consistently in how it handles various ponzi schemes which have been unmasked by the economic melt-down....whether they are private or public schemes. I am not holding my breath.
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